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105. And to scare you even more…

Uncategorized — By Dmitry Podolsky on November 20, 2008 at 10:00 pm
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Dmitry Podolsky has got his PhD from Landau Institute for Theoretical Physics. He currently works as postdoc at Case Western Reserve University. He is also one of the editors of NEQNET.

Overall traffic (all US roads and streets) has dropped down 4.4% (equivalent to 10.7 billion vehicle miles) for September 2008 (compared to September 2007). This sounds somewhat funny considering that the price for gas in US is down by about 50% from its maximum. What would that mean? 105. And to scare you even more...

Via Andrei Simonov.

4 Comments

  1. Lubos Motl says:
    November 21, 2008 at 8:45 am

    In Czechia, the roads seem to be more full than what I remember. The reason is arguably the gasoline price drop – which is more modest in CZK but still substantial, from a CZK 32 peak to CZK 25 or so. People are driving like mad.

    Reply
    • Dmitry says:
      November 21, 2008 at 12:07 pm

      Hi Lubos

      Let me make a testable prediction: the traffic will also drop in Czechia (as well as in other EU countries) in a couple of months ;-) The reason, I think, is that the overall EU economy reacts slower to crisis.

      Cheers,
      Dmitry.

      Reply
  2. Lubos Motl says:
    November 23, 2008 at 11:08 am

    Dear Dmitry, is may be testifiable – by testimonies – and it will be testable. But it might also be falsifiable and I bet it will be falsified. I don’t think that there’s anything that should be called a “crisis” around. There are no signs of slowing GDP here and the national policies are such that it is not being planned. Reduction of the interest rates etc. may be enough. Best, Lubos

    Reply
  3. Dmitry says:
    November 23, 2008 at 6:43 pm

    Dear Lubos

    is may be testifiable – by testimonies – and it will be testable.

    Indeed so, thanks, fixed.

    I don?t think that there?s anything that should be called a “crisis” around.

    By “around” you mean Czechia? If yes, then sorry to say, but this is because you live in suburbia. In Finland (which is also suburbia of course) there are some signs though, like growing unemployment rate, also, Nokia is not doing that well it used to.

    There are no signs of slowing GDP here and the national policies are such that it is not being planned.

    As you said, my prediction is testable and falsifiable, so let us wait about 6 to 12 months.

    Cheers,
    Dmitry.

    Reply

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